They had just six giveaways entering Week 6, and only four teams have fewer takeaways than the Chiefs (5) in 2022. Three turnovers, including one for a score, were the difference.īut ball security really hasn’t otherwise been a huge issue this year. San Francisco lost because of its offense, not its defense. The truth is, however, the Niners had three bad drives that accounted for 204 of the 289 yards allowed.
#NFL FOOTBALL SCORE FREE#
Want to win a free $150 on the NFL this season? As a new user on DraftKings Sportsbook, you can bet $5 and win $150 if your team wins! And it makes sense after the Niners surrendered 28 points to the Falcons. And that model suggests the oddsmakers are overvaluing the Chiefs. On the surface, this seems like a Chiefs win, and perhaps even comfortably, considering the 49ers’ many injuries on defense.īut we trust our model (well, at least Beasley does). The problem with doing fun weekly NFL-branded content is that some weeks don’t fit the template perfectly. Robinson: Cowboys 28, Lions 20 NFL Picks and Predictions: Upset of the WeekĬhiefs -3 Chiefs -165, 49ers +140 O/U 48.5 In games in which Prescott has had 28 or fewer attempts, the Cowboys have gone an insane 24-2. But the real magic number seems to be 28. Two more data points: The Cowboys are 6-13 all-time in games in which Prescott throws 40 or more passes and 47-20 in which he throws 39 or fewer. We expect that second number to, of course, improve with the return of Prescott - which in turn should help all parts of the offense. The Cowboys are ninth in run success rate (43.2%) and 28th in dropback success rate (39.9%). Their run rate has jumped from 41% in 2021 to 46% in 2022 - and for good reason.
The Cowboys found a winning formula out of necessity during Prescott’s absence, and Kellen Moore needs to stick with it. (The Lions are far and away last in defensive EPA per play at. Now it’s time for Prescott to do his job: Expose one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The magic finally ran out for Cowboys quarterback Cooper Rush in Week 6, but the backup signal-caller did his job while Dak Prescott was out with a fractured right thumb, keeping Dallas in the playoff hunt. NFL Picks and Predictions: Lock of the WeekĬowboys -7 Cowboys -335, Lions +260 O/U 48
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